Friday, March 28, 2008

Realistic but Positive: Terry McCauliffe's remarks on 3/26/08

I mentioned in a previous post that Terry McCauliffe made some interesting remarks at a recent reception. Here's a quick summary:

  • Stop watching the cable news channels. They are not reporting the real situation, but, unsurprisingly, doing whatever they need to do to general audience share.
  • The Clinton campaign intends to fight for each and every delegate, and will certainly remain in the race through Puerto Rico, the final primary (pending any changes in the Michigan/Florida situation).
  • The Democratic Party - and the superdelegates - cannot afford to ignore the primary voters in Michigan (about 600,000 plus) or Florida (approximately 1.8 million), because the general election cannot be won without deep voting by Democrats in those states.
  • If a week in politics is a lifetime, then the time between now and the Democratic Convention is many generations. Nobody knows what is going happen between now and then, what the facts will be then, what considerations will be in play.
  • [Speaking with real fervency]: He, McAuliffe, has worked with the Democratic Party for 30 years [amazing, since he isn't a day over 29, and no nobody paid me to say it!], and he chaired the DNC during the days of Bill Clinton who had at that date more slung at him than any recent candidate. But now, in the face of much more incoming than Bill confronted, Hillary Rodham Clinton has proven to be "the most resilient politician", McAuliffe has ever seen.
  • Voters respond to this.
  • Don't kid yourself: it is going to be a dogfight until the convention.
  • For Senator Clinton to prevail, she needs to take Pennsylvania by as wide a margin as possible. McAuliffe predicts between 10 and 20 points, and says that is sufficient to galvanize volunteers, donors, and voters in all the remaining contests. And Senator Clinton must win as convincingly as possible in all of those.
  • They expect to do well, comparatively, in North Carolina and while a win there is unlikely, it does not appear impossible.
  • Highest praise for Ed Rendell [again, spoken with extra fervency]
  • Praise for many others, including Evan Bayh, for their loyalty and counsel.
  • It is crucial that as many people as possible make phone calls to Pennsylvania, volunteer there and in the states after that. Signs everywhere please.
Interestingly, McAuliffe did not speak much about a need for funds, although the campaign must keep raising money. Senator Clinton, who also made remarks at the reception, was the one who referred to this and asked all those at the reception to reach out to new donors. She was charming in her request saying she understood that people are worn out and so it is harder to raise money now than it was back in September, but she stressed the need to continue the upward trend on online contributions.

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Blogger HillBuzz said...

My latest line to people thinking Hillary can't win:

Why is he still campaigning so hard then?

March 28, 2008 at 10:41 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have to disagree with McAuliffe about the usefulness of non residents making phone calls to individual voters in PA. I think it is COUNTER PRODUCTIVE for out of state strangers to call residents and many people don't like it. What works much better is for neighbors to organize neighbors block by block.

I (and many friends )learned this making calls for Kerry in 2004.

(Of course it is useful for out of staters to volunteer to work in state campaign offices or carpool people or even teach them how to run a caucus as you did in Texas.)

March 28, 2008 at 11:37 AM  
Blogger Double Jointed Fingers said...

Saw your link on Taylor Marsh and wish I could help with the offer, but I am tapped out.

Very interesting, informative blog.


March 28, 2008 at 8:13 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Loved your blog and Terry's advice and words in a neat list that's very helpful to us out here; always loved Terry, by the way. He just always makes me smile, he's so full of life.

You sure got a lot of hugs.... very cute....

March 28, 2008 at 9:06 PM  

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